With not much really catching the eye from what terrestrial television has to offer, with probably the Scottish Hurdle and this race being the highlights despite Group racing on the all weather this afternoon. Realistically for me anything that turned up at both recent festivals I am going to put a solid line through.
On record Irish trained runners have a run to ratio poor return in this, but saying that after Mouse Morris landing the Aintree National last week, it would not give me any surprise to see a massive run from ‘FOLSOM BLUE‘. with all of his career revolving in Ireland this is the first time he ventures across waters blue, or muggy if its the English Channel, anyway he was a relatively goods hurdler in his early career running off marks of around 142 which came in graded company when trained by Conor O’Dwyer.
Changing stables in late fall last year, not really showing any sparkle since diverting to fences with only one recorded win from sixteen attempts, but he showed some of that sparkle at Fairyhouse last month when finishing fourth in the Irish Grand National. He never looked like winning on the day, even so he ran on again in the closing stages to get within six lengths of the winner.
With this being just shy of four mile, and last time over and extended three mile five, I would like to think there is more to come, Andrew Ring will claim a handy 5lb, and has ridden for some top stables in the past, the likes of Liz Doyle, V.T.O’Brien, so his not a stranger to pressure, this will be only his second appearance to the shores of Britain and I would give him a live chance on a horse that has never actually fell thRoughout his career, has unseated his participant though, and off a nice riding weight of 10st 3lb, goes in heavy ground Folsom Blue does look reasonably well handicapped.
Nigel Twiston-Davies has own the National on three occasions all here at Ayr, with Hello Bud winning for him back in 2009, it was good to see the old winner being put through his paces at Aintree recently by Tony McCoy and still looked well within himself. Their sole representative here is ‘Tour Des Champs‘ who is another that never saw of the festivals, last run came at Newbury when finishing fourth, the race was far too sharp for him when seen in better effect when making late headway from three out after hitting a flat spot.
His already a season winner over an extended three and a half miles when he thrashed his adversaries at Plumpton two runs back in the Sussex National. This test of stamina should bring him into more effect, can be patiently ridden by a jockey who is having a good spell recently (Ryan Hatch) who’s 3lb claim brings this nine year old with a bottomless weight of just 10st 4lb, I would like to think he is another that looks well handicapped.
One you probably have to feel for and is still looking for his first season success is Neil King’s ‘Milansbar‘, he should of won the Midland National under Trevor Whelan that day at Uttoxeter, he was lying in third when coming to two out when making a game changing mistake, was lucky to probably finish second that day due to the faller at the last in Golden Chieftain who is takes on again this afternoon and gets weight return.
Fourth that day was Spookydooky of Jonjo O’Neils. the recent birthday boys eight year old has a probably a good reasonable line of form this season, winning at Newbury back in November and followed that up with a runners up spot in the Tommy Whittle at Haydock. On that form off 139 he is another that has to be considered being 6lb lower form that run, beaten two runs back in the Listed Celebration Chase at Ascot was definitely on the sharp side, wants a test of stamina and is another that can be there on the premises.
At the prices of all three entries, I will not be over looking that all three are very backable at big odds, with Milansbar (33/1), Spookydooky (20/1) and the Folsom Blue (20/1) even Tour Des Champs who gets a 33/1 quoter I think a fiver each way on all is value for me.
FOLSOM BLUE : £5 each Way @ 20/1 (BOG)
MILANSBAR : £5 each way @ 33/1 (BOG)
SPOOKYDOOKY : £5 each Way @ 20/1 (BOG)
TOUR DES CHAMPS : £5 each Way @ 33/1 (BOG)